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ESPN’s FPI projects South Carolina football’s win total for 2019

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ESPN’s FPI projects South Carolina football’s win total for 2019

April 17, 2019

ESPN’s FPI metric had South Carolina football in pretty high regard.

But it’s not bullish on if that will translate to a big season.

The efficiency number pegs the Gamecocks as the No. 18 team in the country, a jump from No. 35 at the end of last season. But that only shakes out to 6.1 projected wins.

So much has already been said about the Gamecocks’ schedule, but ESPN has it as the hardest in the country.

“Difficult slates abound across the SEC -- which boasts 10 of FPI’s top 20 teams -- and the Pac-12 due to aforementioned depth,” ESPN’s Seth Walder wrote. “The teams with the 10 most difficult schedules all play in one of the two conferences. At the top, South Carolina is followed by USC, Florida, Stanford and Georgia. The Crimson Tide rank 20th in strength of schedule.”

South Carolina’s schedule features three of the four most likely teams to make the playoff in Clemson, Alabama, and Georgia. The latter two are notable since only one can take a conference title.

If USC were to win six games, it would mark the second season in a row in which South Carolina’s record slipped. Will Muschamp’s squad improved by three wins in each of his first two seasons.

The neighborhood for the Gamecocks has grown rougher in recent years, and the once-every-6-years meeting with the Crimson Tide makes that more challenging. Clemson grew into a national power, as did Georgia. Both Florida and Texas A&M showed enough promise to be in the conversation for preseason top-10. Kentucky and Missouri have likewise been strong in recent seasons.

According to an earlier version of the rankings, South Carolina is projected to have a top-15 quality offense and a defense in the top-35.

 
Toughest Schedule in the Country

If South Carolina is going to make a bowl game and contend for the SEC East division next fall, the Gamecocks will have to do so by navigating the toughest schedule in the nation, according to ESPN’s Football Power Index.On the bright side, the Gamecocks are only scheduled to hit the road for four true road games next season with an additional neutral site season opener set to kick off the 2019 season for Will Muschamp’s squad. However, two of the home games the Gamecocks have scheduled are against the two teams that advanced to the College Football Playoff National Championship Game last season.ESPN’s updated Football Power Index projectsthe Gamecocks to win 6.1 games next season despite being ranked as the nation’s No. 18 team.Here is South Carolina’s full 2019 slate, including each opponent’s record in 2018:




Date


View attachment 1091


Opponent


Location


Time




8/31


View attachment 664 


vs N. Carolina


Ch., N.C.


 




9/7


View attachment 661


Charleston S.


Col., S.C.


 




9/14


View attachment 662


Alabama


Col., S.C.


 




9/21


 View attachment 656


at Missouri


Col., Mo.


 




9/28


View attachment 653


Kentucky


Col., S.C.


 




10/5


 


Open date


-


-




10/12


View attachment 660


at Georgia


Ath., Ga.


 




10/19


View attachment 659


Florida


Col., S.C.


 




10/26


View attachment 658


at Tenn.


Knox., Tenn.


 




 11/2


View attachment 654


Vanderbilt


Col., S.C.


 




 11/9


View attachment 663


Appalachian St.


Col., S.C.


 




 11/16


View attachment 655


at Texas A&M


Col.St.Tex.


 




 11/23


 


Open date


-


-




 11/30


View attachment 657


Clemson


Col., S.C.


 




 
IF I am reading this correctly. We may better than 80% of the country next year, but with our schedule we still loose our ass to the tune of 6 losses.

Tell me I am wrong.

 
Last edited:
ON the other hand;

Excerpt from: ESPN’s updated Football Power Index projects

"Add in the fact that the Tigers' schedule rates as only the 56th-hardest among FBS teams, and it's just hard to fathom how Clemson could not make the committee's top four come Selection Day. We'll hazard a guess that over the next decade, no team will have a higher preseason chance to reach the playoff -- per our model -- than Clemson has right now.

To put the Tigers' schedule into perspective: Their most difficult game, per FPI, is at South Carolina on Nov. 30. "

LIfe & football is just not fair!

 
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