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GCF Discussion, Preview & Prediction Thread Week 8 Talking Texas A&M (let's see those predictions)

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GCF Discussion, Preview & Prediction Thread Week 8 Talking Texas A&M (let's see those predictions)
Oct. 19, 2022


Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 22, 2022
Venue: Williams-Brice Stadium, Columbia, SC
Where to Watch: SEC Network

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks​

DraftKings: Point Spread: Texas A&M -3.5, South Carolina +3.5; Over/Under: 46 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Texas A&M -3.5, South Carolina +3.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Texas A&M -3.5, South Carolina +3.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points

Season Record​

Texas A&M Aggies: 3-3 (1-2) (5th place, SEC West)
South Carolina Gamecocks: 4-2 (1-2) (4th place, SEC East)

Texas A&M Aggies vs South Carolina Gamecocks Preview and Analysis​


texas-am-vs-south-carolina-1.jpgTexas A&M is entering this game with a 3-3 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 3rd road game of the season here as they are 0-2 in their road games this year. This will also be their 4th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 1-2. They lost against the Alabama Crimson Tide in their last game on the road 24-20. Haynes King started that game at QB and he completed 25/46 passes for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Devon Achane led the team in rushing with 62 yards on 16 rushing attempts. Evan Stewart led the team in receiving with 106 yards on 8 receptions. Demani Richardson led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles. Fadil Diggs led the defense in sacks with 2 while Jardin Gilbert came away with the only interception for them in that one.

South Carolina is entering this game with a 4-2 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 5th home game of the season as the Gamecocks are 3-1 in their home games this year. This will also be the 4th conference matchup on the Gamecocks conference schedule this season as they are 1-2. They won against the Kentucky Wildcats in their last game on the road 24-14. Spencer Rattler started that game at QB and he completed 14/19 passes for 177 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. MarShawn Lloyd led the team in rushing with 110 yards and 1 TD on 22 carries. Antwane Wells Jr. led the team in receiving with 66 yards and 1 TD on 3 receptions. Sherrod Greene led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles. Jordan Burch and Tonka Hemingway each led the defense in sacks with 1.5 while David Spaulding came away with the only interception for them in that one.

CAN THE GAMECOCKS GET OVER THE HUMP?

South Carolina has not defeated Texas A&M in the series’ eight meetings. The Aggies have been struggling in 2022, however, with three losses at the halfway point of the season. USC turned a corner in the Shane Beamer era against Kentucky, with its first SEC road win and first victory against a ranked team since Beamer took over before last year. The team continues to get votes for The Associated Press Top 25, where it has not been ranked since 2018. South Carolina returns from the bye week on a three-game winning streak, so the momentum could give it the chance to finally defeat Texas A&M.

GAMECOCK DEFENSE

South Carolina gave up just 14 points to Kentucky. Though the Wildcats were without their starting quarterback, Will Levis, the Gamecocks' defense held up well against the UK offense as a whole. Tailback Chris Rodriguez finished with more than 100 yards rushing, but that didn’t result in many scoring drives for Kentucky. Even with mistakes the Gamecocks' offense made in the first half, the defense helped keep the game tied by halftime. South Carolina allowed more than 40 points in its first two SEC games and didn’t force a turnover. The team did the opposite against Kentucky limiting the Wildcats and sealing the win with an interception.

SEASON OF TURMOIL FOR THE AGGIES

Texas A&M’s loss to Appalachian State in the second game of its season shocked the college football world at the time. Jimbo Fisher’s team went from being ranked No. 6 to No. 24. The Aggies are currently outside of the Top 25 after back-to-back losses to Mississippi State and Alabama. While bowl eligibility is still possible, Texas A&M’s combination of injuries and tough losses have put the team in a difficult position.

GAMECOCKS PLAYERS TO WATCH

Spencer Rattler, QB,
South Carolina: Rattler’s accuracy has picked up in the last three games. He completed more than 70% of his passes in that span. He hasn’t thrown more than two touchdown passes in a game, but he’s led many scoring drives that have resulted in touchdowns.

MarShawn Lloyd, RB, South Carolina: Lloyd is up to nine offensive touchdowns this season. He has two 100-yard rushing games as well. Texas A&M’s rushing defense among is the worst in the SEC, so look for Lloyd to have more opportunities Saturday.

AGGIES PLAYERS TO WATCH

Jardin Gilbert, DB,
Texas A&M: Gilbert has two interceptions for the Aggies this year, including one in their last game against Alabama. He made the Pro Football Focus defensive team of the week for his efforts. He’ll likely be matched up with either Antwane Wells or Jalen Brooks, the Gamecocks’ best pass-catchers.

Evan Stewart, WR, Texas A&M: Stewart has been a reliable option for Texas A&M’s offense. He leads the team in yards and catches, with eight receptions and 106 yards against the Crimson Tide. The Gamecock's secondary will need to account for him and limit his opportunities through the air.

Key Injuries​

Texas A&M Aggies: H. King (QB) Prob Sat - Foot. M. Johnson (QB) is Out indefinitely - Hand. A. White Jr. (LB) is Out indefinitely - Knee. A. Smith (WR) is out for the season - Ankle.

South Carolina Gamecocks: M. Kaba (LB) Ques Sat - Knee. C. Rucker (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. C. Beal-Smith (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. C. Terrell (TE) is out for the season - Knee.

Notable Quotes​

"We're playing the backup quarterback too. Two good teams locked up and battled and went at it and we showed what we're capable of." - Jimbo Fisher after his team’s loss against Alabama in their last game.

"This was really big for us in so many ways. We were missing so many guys. Proud of our team. I said to take all three phases, and it did." - Shane Beamer after his team’s win against Kentucky in their last game.

NCAAF Betting Trends​

Texas A&M Aggies: 22-14 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 12-3 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games. 15-7 UNDER is a favorite.
South Carolina Gamecocks: 7-14 ATS as an underdog. 7-14 ATS against conference opponents. 11-5 UNDER in home games.

Texas A&M South Carolina Prediction: Seems the betting trend here is on A&M taking a win on the road. Will that be the case here, yes it will be a tight game most likely going down to the wire. Gamecocks have come up short getting wins when playing A&M at home or on the road. Rattle will need a big game, Getting those big tight ends in the game along with a 100+ yard game by Lloyd to help make it happen. my Prediction here in a close one South Carolina 21 Texas A&M 17

Starting Lineups​

Texas A&M Aggies
WR Stewart, Evan
WR Marshall, Chris
WR Muhammad III, Moose
TE Green, Donovan
QB King, Haynes
RB Achane, Devon

South Carolina Gamecocks
WR Legette, Xavier
WR Brooks, Jalen
WR Brown, Ahmarean
TE Stogner, Austin
TE Bell, Jaheim
QB Rattler, Spencer
RB Lloyd, MarShawn

Statistical Leaders​

Texas A&M Aggies
Passing: H. King (763)
Rushing: D. Achane (528)
Receiving: E. Stewart (303)
Touchdowns: D. Achane (4)

South Carolina Gamecocks
Passing: S. Rattler (1297)
Rushing: M. Lloyd (434)
Receiving: A. Wells Jr. (375)
Touchdowns: M. Lloyd (9)

Coaches:
Texas A&M Aggies: Jimbo Fisher (5th season)
South Carolina Gamecocks: Shane Beamer (2nd season)
 
Last edited:
Extra prep time under Beamer

Interesting. Didn't realize the difference was so stark until saw the numbers.

With 9 or more days to prepare:
Record: 5-0 (2-0 in the SEC)
Average score: USC 36.6 - Opp 13.2 (W by 23 pts)

With 7 or fewer days to prepare:

Record: 6-8 (2-7 in the SEC)
Average score: USC 22.4 - Opp 28.3 (L by 6 pts)
 
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I know it could be a very close, last scoring possession type game, but for some reason, I feel we are going to be on fire and blow them out by at least 3 scores.
 
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