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Week 7 - South Carolina at LSU

FeatheredCock

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South Carolina (6-0) at LSU (5-1) Oct. 13, 8:00, ESPN

Here’s The Deal: Step One for South Carolina during its brutal midseason scheduling stretch – check. The Gamecocks came out roaring against Georgia, getting up quickly and not letting up in a dominant 35-7 win that loudly announced that they’re going to be deep in the national title chase. Step Two is this week’s showdown against LSU, and then comes what might be the real killer on the lot with a trip to Florida, but the team is getting better as the season is going on and might just now be hitting its stride.

LSU is coming off its battle with Florida – a brutal street fight and a 14-6 Gator win – and now it’s panic time. There’s still plenty of time and several opportunities to turn things back around and get back in the national title chase, but with a road trip against Texas A&M up next followed up by dates against Alabama and Mississippi State, there’s a chance the wheels could come off unless the offense starts playing much, much better.

The O line has been beaten up, the passing game isn’t finding a spark, and the amazing defense wasn’t able to carry the day in Gainesville. With lousy performances against Auburn and Towson, the Tigers are on a three-week downturn after starting out the year hot highlighted by an impressive blowout of Washington that seems like it happened ten years ago. However, a win over the No. 3 Gamecocks would be a shot of life into the season.

Considering some of the historic rivalries across the SEC, this isn’t exactly a longtime rivalry with the two programs playing just 19 times with LSU going 16-2-1 and the last USC win coming in 1994 in Baton Rouge. South Carolina will have to make history to come away with the win, but this team seems capable of doing it.

Why South Carolina Might Win: The LSU offensive line that came into the season as one of the best in college football is trying to patch things together. Star left tackle Chris Faulk is already gone for the year with a knee injury, and guard Josh Willford is questionable after leaving the Florida game after getting knocked in the head. Center P.J. Lonergan is hurting and Josh Dwaraczyk is having issues with his leg.

South Carolina’s defensive line has to be smelling blood.

The Florida defensive front held LSU to just 42 rushing yards and ranked out four sacks in a defensive domination. Florida’s line is good; South Carolina’s is better ranking fourth in the nation in sacks and allowing a mere 84 rushing yards per game. Georgia’s offensive line didn’t generate any sort of a push for Todd Gurley and Keith Marshall, who combined for just 76 yards on 25 carries, and struggled to keep quarterback Aaron Murray upright. The Gamecocks only came up with two sacks, but that’s partly because Murray had to get the ball out of his hands in such a hurry. However …

Why LSU Might Win: LSU can bring the heat, too. South Carolina’s offensive line hasn’t been consistent at protecting Connor Shaw, and Sam Montgomery and the defensive front have been stellar with 12 sacks in the last three games.

While the offense has been a major problem, the Tiger defense hasn’t had many problems ranking third in the nation allowing just 221 yards per game and second in pass defense. Florida didn’t find anything deep with just 61 yards through the air and Washington’s Keith Price was all but shut down in the 41-3 stomping. Georgia’s D might be full of NFL talents, but this is the first time all year that Marcus Lattimore has faced a defensive with a front seven like this. The Gators’ Mike Gillislee was able to pound away, but that was an aberration; the Gamecocks can’t hit like Florida’s can.

No one has lined up and blasted South Carolina’s offensive line in the chops. Georgia’s line is good and it’s been able to open up holes for the fantastic backs, but it’s not as physical as LSU’s line can be when all the parts are working. Of course, there’s a big question mark about whether or not the Tigers can be consistent up front with so many injuries, but don’t be shocked if they come out with an attitude from the opening snap and run right at the terrific USC ends.

What To Watch Out For: Outside of a cramping problem, LSU middle linebacker Kevin Minter came up with the best defensive performance of 2012 cranking out 17 solo tackles, 20 stops in all, with three tackles for loss and two sacks with a forced fumble against the Gators. Usually there’s nothing flashy about his game, but he’s great against the run and last week he showed he could get behind the line time and again.

As good as Minter has been, and with all due respect to Sam Montgomery, South Carolina end Jadeveon Clowney is the defensive star of the show. The sophomore has more than lived up to the hype with 6.5 sacks so far and enough pressures to throw off everyone off. Too quick off the ball, he demands double teaming on a line full of player who need extra blocking.

What Will Happen: LSU’s defense will shut down South Carolina’s offense, giving Shaw his worst game of the season, while Lattimore will struggle to get 75 yards. LSU’s offense will have an even tougher time. Zach Mettenberger hasn’t been able to find his groove all season long, and the running game has suddenly gone nowhere thanks to the injuries on the line. It’s not going to be a pretty game in any way, but unlike the Florida slugfest, at home under the lights, LSU will barely be on the right side this time around.

CFN Prediction: LSU 17 … South Carolina 13

ATS Consultants Line (Click for more lines and picks) LSU –2.5 O/U: 40

Must Watch Rating (5 – Argo, 1 – Pitch Perfect): 5

link: http://cfn.scout.com/2/1228533.html

 
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South Carolina vs. LSU preview ( Another preview of the game..)

Recent History: LSU has dominated this series at 16-2-1 with four straight wins by 17 points per game. The Tigers are also 10-1 when hosting the Gamecocks, with the only loss coming back in 1994. Bottom line: South Carolina hasn’t fared well in this series in recent history.

South Carolina Will Win If: They can take advantage of a weaker LSU offensive line and get to the quarterback. We saw Florida get to the quarterback often last week, and Carolina has much better pass rushers than Florida has on the roster. Jadeveon Clowney, Devin Taylor and the underrated Chaz Sutton will need to create havoc in the Tigers’ backfield. LSU’s offensive line has been suspect since tackle Chris Faulk went down earlier in the season. Combined with a weaker offensive line and Zach Mettenberger holding onto the football too long, Carolina should be able to alter the football game. The Gamecocks lead the league in sacks with 25, and the closest team is Ole Miss with 17.

LSU Will Win If: They stop Connor Shaw and get Zach Mettenberger comfortable in the passing game. No one has been able to stop Shaw yet. He is the lifeblood of the entire offense. He’s the silent assassin. I’m a believer now. The passing numbers or rushing numbers don’t stand out. They never really did. However, Shaw is the son of a coach, and he’s a gamer. If LSU can shut down Shaw’s zone read game with Marcus Lattimore, it will force Carolina to do work through the air. I’m not saying they can’t, but the whole offensive attack revolves around Shaw and the zone read. Also, Mettenberger must get better in the passing game. He’s not a mobile quarterback but a pocket passer, and he has to find ways to find open receivers and gain some confidence down the field. He hasn’t looked comfortable in five games.

Storyline(s): Carolina is coming off arguably the biggest win in program history for a regular season game over #5 ranked Georgia. Emotions are running high still, and the Gamecocks will need to bottle that up and save a little for LSU. If South Carolina wins this football game, how can you not rank them #2 in the country? And on the flip side, LSU must win this game – and win out – to still be in the national championship picture. Back-to-back losses against the SEC East could be devastating for the West powerhouse.

Player(s) To Watch: For LSU, make sure you watch linebacker Kevin Minter. Minter was sensational in the loss to Florida last week. He had a career-high 20 tackles, including 17 solo tackles and recorded two sacks and a forced fumble. He was all over the field and stood out in a lineup of future NFL players. He’ll be key in making sure Connor Shaw doesn’t have his way with the Tigers’ defense.

For South Carolina, you have to watch Jadeveon Clowney. His ability to rush the passer proves he is a freak of nature, with his speed, size and agility for such a massive human being. He’s second in the SEC in tackles for loss (11.5) and second in sacks (6.5). I have a feeling he’ll be getting after Mettenberger quite often on passing plays that take too long to develop.

link: http://www.saturdaydownsouth.com/201...s-lsu-preview/

 
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