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Pre-Spring High/Low Watermark Predictions

USCMM

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Alright everyone! What's your way too early predictions for next season?! Tell me your high/low watermarks and your prediction of the most likely scenario!

Sep 4 Eastern Illinois - Home

Sep 11 East Carolina - Away

Sep 18 Georgia - Away

Sep 25 Kentucky - Home                          

Oct 2  Troy - Home

Oct 9 Tennessee - Away

Oct 16 Vanderbilt - Home

Oct 23 Texas A&M - Away             

Oct 30 -- BYE WEEK

Nov 6 Florida - Home

Nov 13 Missouri - Away                            

Nov 20 Auburn - Home

Nov 27 Clemson - Home

 
I'm still learning about our opponents, so this can wildly change. But this is how I feel at the moment based on my gut reaction when I looked at the schedule. I put in a mix of upsets losses and wins in my most likely scenario. I'm kind of surprised by my high Watermark. I basically had us winning all of the 50/50 games in that scenario. From my perspective our records against Kentucky, Tennessee, Missouri and Auburn will determine if we go to a bowl game. We need to win 2 out of those 4 and not drop any games we should win.

High Watermark: 8-4 (5-3)

Low Watermark: 4-8 (1-7)

Most Likely Scenario: 6-6 (3-5)

Eastern Illinois - 95% - W

East Carolina - 70% - W

Georgia - 20% - L

Kentucky - 50% - W                    

Oct 2  Troy - 70% - W

Oct 9 Tennessee - 50% - L

Oct 16 Vanderbilt - 90% - W

Oct 23 Texas A&M - 10% - L         

Oct 30 -- BYE WEEK

Nov 6 Florida - 30% - L

Nov 13 Missouri - 50% - L                         

Nov 20 Auburn - 50% - W

Nov 27 Clemson - 20% - L

 
Low: 3-9 (1-7) with wins over Eastern Illinois, Troy, and Vanderbilt

High: 6-6 (3-5) with wins over Eastern Illinois, East Carolina, Troy, Kentucky, Vanderbilt, and pull out a game we should probably lose (Mizzou, Auburn, Tennessee) 

Most likely: 5-7 (2-6) with the same wins as high mark minus the one we should probably lose

 
Low: 3-9 (1-7) with wins over Eastern Illinois, Troy, and Vanderbilt

High: 6-6 (3-5) with wins over Eastern Illinois, East Carolina, Troy, Kentucky, Vanderbilt, and pull out a game we should probably lose (Mizzou, Auburn, Tennessee) 

Most likely: 5-7 (2-6) with the same wins as high mark minus the one we should probably lose
I think we can and should beat East Carolina. They were not a very good team last year either. I counted Auburn and Tennessee as 50/50 shots just because they're also going through coaching transitions. We also host Auburn.

 
I think we can and should beat East Carolina. They were not a very good team last year either. I counted Auburn and Tennessee as 50/50 shots just because they're also going through coaching transitions. We also host Auburn.
I think we should beat East Carolina too. I just see that as a game that we could very well lose. Until we start consistently beating our SEC brethren again, I'm really only counting on beating Vandy. I think we'll beat Kentucky, but that's another one that I view as a toss up.

 
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