Food for thought.
First thing, what would be a good short-term outcome if a new guy comes in? The
2020 schedule is again brutal, with a road game at LSU replacing Alabama on this year’s slate. There are three easier non-conference games, but expecting a bounce-back to much better than six or seven wins would be a bit much. Lets go a little further now, In 2021, Gamecocks gets Auburn, along with the usual top-end cast of four teams: Clemson, Georgia, Florida and Texas A&M. Even if the Gamecocks takes that big step forward in a coach’s second year and assuming Tennessee is still struggling — it’ll be a fight to get to eight or nine wins.
Here’s the thing of it: In many cases, a coach hanging on at the end means a decay of sorts. Lack of long-term faith erodes recruiting. Theoretical momentum stalls. But with a Muschamp staff, that hasn’t proven to be the case here with him and this staff. He’s got the Gamecock roster in better shape. Things seem to be going well on the classroom and character side of things. He left a talented base at Florida, one that won a pair of SEC East titles in a weak division. The Gamecock roster is different from what he inherited, one with almost nothing proven at the skill positions, a mess on the offensive line and a defense in bad need of development.
And one more year probably won’t change that. He’d bring in running back Marshawn Lloyd and quarterback Luke Doty in the next recruiting class, and he’d create a more solid base for whatever the future brings. Plus, it doesn’t hurt that his players strongly went to bat for him and families of players and recruits are behind him as well.
Note of importance that should not get lost here is that year 4 historically hasn’t been kind to Gamecock coaches:
▪ Steve Spurrier had one of the best, a 7-6 campaign with a Week 2 loss to Vanderbilt and a three-game losing streak to close the season.
▪ Lou Holtz went 5-7.
▪ Joe Morrison went 3-6-2 before rebounding for two 8-4 years.
▪ Jim Carlen went 5-5-1, making bowls the next two years.
▪ Paul Dietzel did win the ACC his Year 4, but he turned around for a losing season the next year.
Two things can happen here, one is things turn sour in a big way, and the need for a change becomes obvious or thing two the Gamecocks get one more upset and salvage a very strange but acceptable season.
But any change likely wouldn’t be one that produces a start at South Carolina like the Muschamp era has had. Chances are with whatever is inherited, it would be a reset of the just the hope clock, again just granting a few years of leeway as someone new tries to build their program. But the clock is ticking for the next ray of hope for the fans and programs future.